A Closer Look at Larijani’s Remarks and the Risks of Misinterpretation
While some analysts and officials have criticized Larijani’s statements, it is crucial to assess them with precision and accuracy. Larijani explicitly reaffirmed that Iran, in line with the Supreme Leader’s fatwa and strategic doctrine, refrains from developing or using nuclear weapons. However, he stressed that external threats—particularly from the U.S. and Israel—could place Iran in a situation where it is forced to reconsider its policies if the very existence of the Islamic Republic comes under direct attack. This potential shift would not be a voluntary policy change but rather a reaction to external pressures and existential threats. Therefore, any interpretation suggesting that Larijani’s remarks indicate a fundamental shift in Iran’s nuclear stance would be inaccurate.
Secondary Religious Rulings and the Imperative of Preserving the Islamic Republic
Larijani specifically noted that in times of crisis and threats to national security, Iran could invoke secondary religious rulings. These rulings can temporarily override primary religious obligations in extraordinary circumstances, prioritizing the survival of the Islamic Republic. The well-known statement by Imam Khomeini that “preserving the Islamic system is the most essential obligation” reinforces this doctrinal and strategic perspective. Consequently, in the face of serious threats, Iran may temporarily set aside certain primary principles to ensure the system’s survival.
Larijani’s remarks are not only rooted in undeniable religious jurisprudence but are also strategically logical and widely understood. Not just Iran, but any political system facing existential threats would, as a legitimate and accepted measure, use all available means—both potential and actual—for self-defense.
Responses to Criticism and the Importance of Strengthening Deterrence
In recent days, some analysts and officials have responded critically to Larijani’s statements. These reactions may stem from misunderstandings or misinterpretations of his words. However, the key takeaway is that Larijani was emphasizing the necessity of reinforcing deterrence in times of crisis. This principle of deterrence reflects Iran’s capacity to counter external threats, and Larijani correctly pointed out that neglecting this principle could expose Iran to serious risks. In critical situations, taking preventive deterrence measures is essential to prevent adversaries from capitalizing on their threats.
Trump’s Threats and Their Implications for Iran’s Nuclear Policy
Recent threats by former U.S. President Donald Trump to launch large-scale bombings against Iran have sparked deep concerns both globally and within Iran. In an interview with NBC, Trump explicitly stated that if Iran moves toward developing nuclear weapons, the U.S. is prepared to carry out extensive military strikes. These threats come as Larijani has rightfully warned that such actions would not halt Iran’s nuclear program but might instead accelerate Iran’s pursuit of nuclear capabilities. This situation underscores a fundamental shift in Iran’s approach, driven by external pressures, with full responsibility for these developments resting on the U.S. and its allies.
Israel’s Role in Escalating Tensions
Larijani also pointed out that Israel is a key factor in escalating tensions in the region. While Israel has long sought to reshape the Middle East’s security landscape in its favor, it is currently grappling with internal crises and economic difficulties. By provoking the U.S. into adopting hostile actions against Iran, Israel aims to manage its own domestic challenges. However, history has shown that Israel’s aggressive policies only fuel instability in the region and exacerbate security crises. These policies not only fail to serve Israel’s interests but also endanger regional and global security.
Ali Larijani’s remarks serve as a strategic warning about the impact of external threats on Iran’s nuclear policy and the need to enhance deterrence in times of crisis. Iran has no intention of voluntarily pursuing nuclear weapons. However, continuous threats from adversaries could create circumstances that push Iran toward decisions it has previously avoided. Recognizing that any potential shift in Iran’s nuclear policy would be a direct consequence of external pressures—particularly military threats from the U.S. and Israel—is crucial. To prevent such developments, strengthening deterrence and adopting strategic countermeasures against external threats are essential.
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