Recent developments in the Middle East and the possibility of direct U.S. involvement have become a serious concern among the American public. A YouGov poll shows that 65% of Americans and 69% of independent voters hold Trump responsible for a potential increase in gasoline prices to $6 per gallon—a rise that could strain the daily lives of millions of American families. This issue not only impacts household economies but also undermines the Republican Party’s credibility in managing major economic matters.

War and Economic Pressure on Middle Class

More than 72% of Americans oppose their country entering a new war in the Middle East. This opposition is not driven solely by humanitarian or military concerns; economic consequences are also central. Analyses indicate that such a war could significantly raise mortgage interest rates. For an average homeowner, this increase could result in over $100,000 in additional costs over the life of a loan. The reality translates into diminished hope for the future, psychological stress on the middle class, and growing distrust toward pro-war politicians.

“America First” Slogan vs. Field Realities

Trump has consistently emphasized domestic priorities with the “America First” slogan, yet potential engagement in a costly Middle East war starkly contradicts this claim. Two-thirds of voters, including one-third of Republicans, explicitly recognize this contradiction. This suggests that even Trump’s traditional base harbors serious doubts about his foreign policy. For some voters, a Middle East war represents not American strength but dependence on foreign actors and a departure from national interests.

Lobby Influence and Public Trust Crisis

Perhaps most troubling for Republicans is the public perception of foreign lobby influence over Trump’s decisions. According to poll data, 63% of voters believe Trump might be swayed by financial support from Israel’s backers in his election campaign. Even if politically exaggerated, this perception weakens public trust in Republican decision-making independence. At a time when the U.S. faces serious domestic challenges such as inflation, federal debt, and social inequality, any hint of foreign dependence can escalate into a political legitimacy crisis.